Estimating Intelligence
Weather risk, schedule analysis, and preconstruction guides for construction professionals.
#1
Estimating & Preconstruction
How to Account for Weather Delays in a Construction Bid
Most weather contingencies are either too low or too high. A framework for pricing weather risk accurately — using historical data, recency weighting, and P50/P80 scenario analysis.
#2
State Risk Series — Texas
Texas Construction Weather Risk: Heat, Storms, and the Gulf Season
Texas has the most complex construction weather profile in the country — extreme heat, severe storm season, Gulf hurricane exposure, and freeze tail risk. How to price all four accurately by location and phase.
#3
Phase Risk Analysis
Earthwork and Weather: Why Site Work Is Your Highest-Risk Phase
Most earthwork overruns don't come from shutdowns — they come from marginal days that quietly destroy production efficiency. Here's the framework for pricing earthwork weather risk accurately, including recovery lag, sequence effects, and soil type.
#4
Risk Methodology
P50 vs. P80: Which Scenario Should Drive Your Construction Bid?
The gap between P50 and P80 is your weather contingency number — not a round percentage. Here's how to calculate it by phase and location, and why it varies from 2 days in Phoenix to 16 days on the Gulf Coast.
#5
State Risk Series — Florida
Florida Construction Season: Hurricane Risk, Heat, and the Dry Window
Florida has two completely different construction climates within one year. Here's how to price hurricane season exposure, heat-index productivity loss, and lightning risk — by market and phase.
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